Fantasy Waiver Wire Pickups – Week 10
Week 9 has come and gone, and many leagues are gearing towards playoffs. If you have the opportunity to bid for high playoff seeding, but your team is hurt, out, or on BYE, lets consider some waiver players that can be formidable plug and play options for Week 10. As usual, lets review the selections from Week 9.
Drew Lock: 36.4
Mike Davis CUT: 6.3
DeeJay Dallas: 11.6
Darnell Mooney: 9.3
Scotty Miller DROP: 1.5
Jordan Reed: .8
Washington Football Team Defense: 6.0
Drew Lock brought the heat vs. Atlanta and although they were unable to pull off the win, Lock still put up massive fantasy numbers. I hope you didn’t listen to me in cutting Mike Davis. While he had a poor Week 9 showing with the return of CMC, if McCaffrey is sidelined for some time with a shoulder injury, Davis will once again return to relevancy. DeeJay Dallas was a decent 1-week waiver option, but with the return of Carson pending this week, he will once again return to backup responsibilities to grow behind a stud RB1. Darnell Mooney had a difficult week vs. TEN and still managed to produce decent numbers, look for those to grow this week vs. MIN. Scotty Miller, you’re welcome. I made the Reed pick against my better judgment, and I am glad that last weeks fantasy article did not post until after the TNF competition, so none of you took my advice to add Reed (I’m Sorry). Lastly, Washington had a good week with 5 sacks and a forced fumble, but with 350 offensive yards and 23 points from the Giants, they totaled only 6.0 fantasy points (better than -2.0 from TB).
RULES: These waiver add picks will be for players that are UNDER 40% rostered (ESPN Rankings) in standard leagues. These selections will not only be starting caliber players, but will also provide bench depth for the comings weeks. Reminder, these players will not always be for the respective week, we plan to look ahead a bit to beat the mass pickup as the player gains notoriety or favorable matchup. Any future projections will be noted in the body of the analysis. For drop candidates, we are only considering players who are OVER 40% rostered (ESPN Rankings).
QB: Baker Mayfield – CLE (17.7% Rostered)
This pick is contingent on if Baker can clear COVID protocol before returning to the locker room, but all signs point towards a Wednesday clearance. Mayfield has had an up and down season, and honestly, is playing much lower than people expected. Mayfield has only had 1 game this season over 20 fantasy points (Week 7- 30.8pts.) and is coming off a stinker in Week 8 vs. LV where he only scored a whopping 7.8 fantasy points. Coming off a bye, and on COVID IR, Baker looks to bounce back against a barren Houston Defense. Houston is ranked 29th overall in DEF vs. opposing QB (24.75pts. / game) and gave up a MASSIVE stat line to Jake Luton (yes Jake Luton) in Week 9, tallying 304 yards and 1 TD (24.75pts.).
With the loss of OBJ, Mayfield now has some breathing room and doesn’t have the pressure of forced targets breathing down his neck, and with Hooper and Chubb trending towards returning in Week 10, the offense looks to be coming together nicely. Baker will be able to target a weak HOU DEF, and should be able to rely on a plethora of pass catching options in way to a big fantasy night. Watch twitter @WholeNineSports and @AJAudet80 for updates if Mayfield doesn’t clear COVID protocol, updates will be posted there.
RB: Duke Johnson- HOU (27.2% Rostered)
Let me start off with this, I’m not in love with this move, but with the potential of David Johnson missing Week 10 with a concussion, Duke (will refer to him as Duke due to same last name), looks to be taking starting snaps in practice this week in preparation for the loss of DJ. With DJ leaving the game in Week 9 with his concussion, Duke filled in as RB1 and was able to provide 41 yards on 16 touches for 1 TD and an additional 4 receptions for 32 yards. If DJ does in fact miss his game, Duke will have lead back opportunities against Cleveland, and while they do have a good defense this year, they are allowing 17.5 points to the opposing RB. With the other backup RB options in HOU being Buddy Howell, Cullen Gillaspia, and CJ Prosise, it is very clear that Duke is the RB1 option going into the week. As usual, pay attention to live updates on Twitter @WholeNineSports and @AJAudet80, because if DJ does in fact clear concussion protocol, Duke will not be a viable flex option on Week 10.
RB CUT: JaMycal Hasty- SF (72.0% Rostered)
JaMycal Hasty was a great concept, but hasn’t panned out to date. With the loss of Mostert, Coleman, and McKinnon, Hasty had the opportunity to be the lead back, and in that time, never scored more than 9 fantasy points. Mostert and Coleman are trending to return to the field in Week 10, and if that happens, Hasty will be relegated to R4/5 responsibilities behind Mostert, Coleman, McKinnon and Juszczyk. Going into Week 10, the 49ers will be facing the Saints, who have been playing outstanding on defense lately, and have posted a top 3 overall fantasy defense on the season, only allowing 12.75 points per game to the opposing running back. Hasty is only a rookie, and still has lots of room for growth, so his career is far from over, with a bit of grooming, he will make his way into a feature role in the coming seasons. If both Mostert and Coleman trend towards returning in Week 10, the backfield will be so crowded that Hasty will likely see a drastic downturn in touches.
WR: Jakobi Meyers- NE (10.3% Rostered)
Who? Most people haven’t heard this name before, and most people will peg the primary NE pass catchers to be Julian Edelman and N’Keal Harry, but with Harry (concussion) and Edelman (knee) inactive, Meyers has stepped up to the challenge. Over the last two weeks, Newton has shown to have a connection with the second year pass catcher out of NC State, and Meyers has capitalized on the increased targets and opportunities. In Week 8, against a stout BUF secondary, Meyers was able to go 6/10 for 58 yards (13.8pts.), and while somewhat underwhelming, he was able to follow that up in Week 9 with 12/14 for 169 yards (28.96pts.). Although Meyers hasn’t seen the end zone this season, he is working on putting it all together and with the increased targets, and increased offensive snap count (99% Week 8 & 9), Meyers will have the opportunity to shine in the coming weeks. Although Week 10 vs. Baltimore will be difficult, he has favorable matchups in the coming weeks vs. HOU, ARI, LAC, LAR, and MIA. Although he is not a household name, he is growing as a receiver and will grow as a primary target for Cam Newton.
TE: Irv Smith Jr.- MIN (3.8% Rostered)
Slowly but surely, Smith has taken over the TE1 responsibilities in MIN, forcing Rudolph to be primarily a blocking back. Although Week 9 was a down receiving week for Smith, he was able to reel in 2 catches for 2 TD’s, totaling 15.0 fantasy points. Irv Smith was a very prolific receiver at Alabama, and while his 2019 was very underwhelming, Cousins has been able to slowly work Smith into the offense. Moving into Week 10, Smith will be facing the Lions Defense, who is middle of the road vs. opposing TE’s (14th) and have given up an average of 9.0 fantasy points per game to the TE position. While the TE market this year outside of the top 2-3 options has been watered down, Smith gives a low floor high ceiling option, especially in the red zone. Chicago has a decent run defense, so if Minnesota struggles to get Cook started on the ground, especially in the red zone, Smith will be a big target when trying to punch one in. While Smith is a boom or bust pick, he has a touchdown upside, and with currently low ownership, and has solid matchups (DAL, CAR, JAX) in the coming weeks.
Streaming DEF of the Week:
Green Bay Packers (18.1% Rostered) vs. JAX
Coming off a solid Week 9 showing vs. Nick Mullens and the barren 49ers, the Packers DEF looks to take on a weak JAX offense, most likely with rookie 6th round QB Jake Luton under center. While the defense hasn’t been a topic of conversation due to the high-powered offense, the defense is in the top half of the NFL against opposing QB (19.75pts. / game), Top 10 in DEF vs. opposing WR (20.25pts. / game), and Top 10 in DEF vs. opposing TE (4.75pts. / game). Although they struggle against the run (second to last in NFL- 25.5pts / game), if the Packers are able to string together their defense vs. QB, RB, and TE, they should be able to minimize Jacksonville’s offense attack. On the season, the Packers have 17 sacks, 5 forced fumbles, and 3 interceptions, and while that isn’t overwhelmingly impressive, Luton had 1 interception, 1 fumble and 2 sacks last week vs. Houston, who does not have a good defense at all. Packers should be able to capitalize on the rookie play callers inexperience, and put up a solid defensive showing.
Let me know your thoughts! Reach out on twitter at @AJAudet80 for discussion on the fantasy selections above. Any questions on your fantasy lineups, trades, or additional waivers pickups, hit me on twitter for advice! I look forward to hearing from you and working to build a strong fantasy community.