Fantasy Waiver Wire Pickups – Week 6
Well then… what a week. Another wild week in the books where we saw the Dolphins DESTROY the 49ers, and the Raiders take down the Chiefs, two things I did not imagine writing about just a week ago. Also, for the third time in NFL history, there will be a Tuesday Night Football game featuring the Bills and Titans. Regardless of the outcome of that game (I am writing this during that game), we are going to roll into the predictions, waiver adds and drops for the upcoming week in fantasy (Week 6). If there are any additions or subtractions from this list due to the Tuesday Night Football game, I will keep you updated via twitter .
Teddy Bridgewater: 20.8
D’Ernest Johnson: 4.6
Jeff Wilson Jr. DROP: 2.7
Tee Higgins: 10.2
Hunter Renfrow: 5.2
Dalton Schultz: 1.6
Kansas City Chiefs: -1.0
Week 5 had some hot and cold points, but overall, always could have been worse. Teddy Bridgewater put up a commanding performance in the Panthers Week 5 win against the winless Falcons (enter additional jokes here). Tee Higgins performed as expected, and continue to watch his stock rise as AJ Green (more on him later) could be sidelined for some time with a hamstring injury. Dalton Schultz and the Kansas City Defense are both anomalies in the scoring department for this week.
Kansas City got upset at home by the Raiders as a result of a poor defensive showing, and Dak Prescott’s season ending injury dampened the Cowboys offensive attack, just nearly succumbing to the New York Giants. D’Ernest Johnson and Hunter Renfrow did just alright, nothing notable in those games from either of them. Henry Ruggs was the feature receiver in the Raiders offense, leaving Renfrow as just an afterthought. As for the Browns and Johnson, they decided to retire the rushing attack this week and focus more on the vertical game with the loss of Nick Chubb, we will need to monitor the situation to see if this will be the case moving forward. Lastly, Jeff Wilson Jr. didn’t show up, which was what we expected. With some ups and downs in Week 5, lets focus forward on what’s to come and change our luck moving into the heart of the season.
RULES: These picks will be for players that are UNDER 40% rostered (ESPN Rankings) in standard leagues. These selections will not only be starting caliber players, but will also provide bench depth for the comings weeks. Reminder, these players will not always be for the respective week, we plan to look ahead a bit to beat the mass pickup as the player gains notoriety or favorable matchup. Any future projections will be noted in the body of the analysis.
QB: Andy Dalton- DAL (0.2% Rostered)
First and foremost, I want to pay respects to Dak Prescott and the horrific injury (compound ankle fracture) he endured during Sunday’s game vs. the Giants. Dak will be out for the remainder of the season, and I want to wish him nothing but the best for a full and fast recovery. During the 2020 offseason, Jerry Jones offered Andy Dalton a contract worth up to $7 million with incentives to back up Dak Prescott, and I would say at this point in time he is overly content with his decision to do so. Dalton will take command of the Cowboys offense for the remainder of the 2020 season, and although he will not put up Prescott size numbers, he is going to create solid production due to a bevy of offensive weapons. Throughout his career (2011 to Present) Dalton is averaging QB11 throughout a 9-year span, and having a finish as high as QB3, which isn’t too shabby. With a stable full of pass catching options including Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, CeeDee Lamb, and Dalton Shultz, Dalton should have no issues finding an open target. The Cowboys have a trio of favorable matchups coming in the next few weeks including Arizona, Washington and Philadelphia who are ranked as the 15th, 29th, and 27th defenses respectively. With the firepower in the Cowboys offense, mixed with a highly effective quarterback, I don’t anticipate much of a production drop-off moving forward. Expect Dalton to fly off the shelves in all fantasy leagues, so place the waiver ASAP to beat the rush.
RB: JD McKissic- WFT (14.8% Rostered)
The Washington Football Team’s backfield has been in question ever since the removal of Adrian Peterson from the team. Antonio Gibson was the incumbent RB1 coming into his rookie season, but he has struggled to get his feet under him this far into the season. McKissic hasn’t blown anyone out of the water just this year, but he’s averaging about 7 fantasy points per game throughout this year, which when in need of a waiver option due to bye weeks or injuries, getting a solid point production is well worth it. McKissic has been a decent option in the passing game, and reeled in 6 receptions last week against the Rams. Even as Antonio Gibson starts to gain confidence out of the backfield, his receiving ability hasn’t been proven as of yet, which will force McKissic into the offense. As well, with Kyle Allen taking over the responsibilities at Quarterback, check-downs are going to be frequent within the offense, and McKissic will receive the majority of those targets. McKissic is the snap leader out of the backfield for Washington, and has been taking advantage of every opportunity he has been given. McKissic is leading the offense in snap percentage from the RB spot, and lead the team in passing targets in Week 5, with Kyle Allen under center, and in increase in accuracy when moving on from Haskins, McKissic will continue to score moderate points moving forward.
RB Drop: Zack Moss – BUF (51.4% Rostered)
By no means does cutting Zack Moss mean he is washed up or done in Buffalo, he is a rookie, who has been dealing with some nagging injuries, and needs some honest time and reps to work his way into the blossoming Buffalo Defense. With only Devin Singletary ahead of him in the Bills offense, there is definitely room for the first year back, but he needs to learn the system and create his own NFL play style, and with a shortened offseason, he hasn’t had the full opportunity to grow yet. Moss had an outstanding career at Utah, rushing for 4,067 yards (38 TD) and 66 receptions for 685 yards. Moss is a shifty mid-sized back that has decent speed out of the backfield, and has had NFL comparisons to a poor man’s Kareem Hunt. Devin Singletary is the clear cut RB1 in Buffalo and has seen 73.25% of offensive snaps on the season, while Moss is only seeing 45.5% through the first two games (injured Week 3 & 4). I strongly believe that Moss has a long and impressive NFL career ahead of him, but he will need some time to marinate in Buffalo before he will be able to capitalize on his opportunities. As seen in the case of many rookie RB’s this year, the shortened offseason hindered the growth of these individuals, and with time, it will all fall into place, but having to save a bench spot now that fantasy owners are in the full swing of bye weeks could be detrimental to roster integrity.
WR: Chase Claypool – PIT (8.8% Rostered)
Chase “Mapletron” Claypool is an absolute stud hailing from the Great White North by way of Notre Dame. With the 49th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the Steelers found an absolute gem who should have been selected MUCH earlier in the draft. During his rookie campaign, Claypool has been able to hold his own amongst proven Wide Receivers in JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson, and James Washington, quickly climbing the target latter throughout this season. Claypool has the intangibles to succeed in the NFL standing 6′ 4″ tall, weighing 229 lbs. all while running a 4.42 40-yard dash and a 40.5″ vertical, hence why comparing himself to a modern day Megatron. Against the Eagles last weekend, in the Battle for Pennsylvania, Claypool showed up totaling 7 receptions for 110 yards and 3 touchdowns, and punched one in on the ground, for 4 total touchdowns on the day (39.4 fantasy points). Although a singular weeks sample size is very small, Claypool has been relevant in all games this season, and had 18.3 points a few weeks earlier vs. Denver. Weeks like Week 5 will not happen often, but expect Claypool to remain a constant target in the Steelers offense with JuJu underperforming thus (5 targets for 28 yards in Week 5) and Diontae Johnson listed as questionable with a back injury after coming out of the game in Week 5. Claypool’s snap count has been increasing rapidly, and was just shy of 70% against the Giants, and with such a high ceiling, the targets and productions will roll out quickly. With the amount of talent and upside Claypool possesses, he will be a hot commodity during the Week 6 Waiver period, he is my #1 pickup of the week.
WR Drop: AJ Green – CIN (78.9% Rostered)
Honestly, I’m not even too sure what to say about AJ Green anymore. He’s been dealing with chronic injuries throughout his 9 year NFL Career, but as of lately, the vet cant seem to keep himself on the field. Green has not played a full NFL season since 2017, and has only played 5 complete seasons in his 9 year career. With Zac Taylor and the front offices decision to select Joe Burrow in the 2020 Draft, AJ Green exclaimed his excitement, and convinced us all he was healthy, did not want to be traded, and was back to the old AJ Green coming into the 2020 season… Boy did he fool us. Green exited Week 5 with another hamstring injury, sidelining him for who knows how long time time around. During Green’s rollercoaster of a 2020 season, Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins (Week 5 Waiver Add) have picked up the slack and have become formidable options in the Bengals passing attack. On the season, Green is averaging 63.4% of offensive snaps, but only has 14 receptions on 34 targets (41.2%) for 119 yards and a touchdown… somewhat sad for the talented veteran. Not many people are willing to make the plunge to drop a player as notorious and talented as AJ Green, but with his injury history, current injury status, and the emergence of Tee Higgins this season and Tyler Boyd last season, Green’s production and opportunities are capped. Burrow has a cannon, and has been an outstanding passer this season, but moving forward, I anticipate the snaps and targets to diminish towards AJ Green, if he can make it back on the field any time soon.
TE: Gerald Everett- LAR (0.5% Rostered)
Frankly, at this point in the season, the waiver wire for TE options is becoming barren. With injuries, underperformance, and the emergence of sleeper options, the TE market is very volatile. To this point in the season as TE2 on the depth chart, Gerald Everett has managed decently to hold his own against 2019 golden child Tyler Higbee. Over the last 5 games of the 2019 season, Higbee averaged 17.2 fantasy points per game, and through the first 5 games of the 2020 season, is averaging 8.8 fantasy points per game. People were hoping that the streak from the end of the 2019 season would remain, but it hasn’t been as glorious as many hoped for. Week-by-week this season, Higbee has been underperforming, and Gerald Everett has been slowly gaining momentum, with 4 receptions for 90 yards in Week 5. Jared Geoff loves to target the TE, and with uncertainty surrounding Higbee, it is likely that he will start to split targets across the TE landscape. Although Everett’s receptions have been low to date, he is averaging a 90% catch rate, which any QB loves to see. Going into Week 6, the Rams have a decent matchup against the 49ers who allowed 15 points to the TE position last week. Although it is uncertain how the snap count and target percentage will breakdown, it is likely that Geoff will start to split targets more to the TE position, so look for Everett to start to rise in popularity.
Streaming DEF: Miami (1.7%) vs. NYJ
For the remainder of this season, I want to adopt a “Play anyone and everyone against the Jets” mentality. The 0-5 Jets have been nothing short of laughable, and now they are rumored to be shopping Le’Veon Bell in the trade market. After their Week 4 loss against the Broncos, there were rumors swirling that Adam Gase was on his way out of town, but apparently those rumors have died down and he remains at the helm for the foreseeable future. Frankly, Adam Gase has been struggling to coach this year, and his supporting staff hasn’t been much help trying to dig the team out of the 0-5 start. The Miami Dolphins come into this game after a huge victory vs. the 49ers in Week 5, and are looking to keep the ball rolling vs. a desolate Jets Offense. In their Week 5 victory, the defense played a huge factor in that win creating 5 sacks and a total of 14 defensive fantasy points. With a questionable OLine, look for the Dolphins to attack the quarterback heavily throughout the matchup. With Sam Darnold still dealing with a shoulder injury and listed as questionable, the chances of Joe Flacco starting are increasing daily, and if that is the case, look for the Dolphins to have a field day on defense.
Let me know your thoughts! Reach out on twitter at @AJAudet80 for discussion on the fantasy selections above. Any questions on your fantasy lineups, trades, or additional waivers pickups, hit me on twitter for advice! I look forward to hearing from you and working to build a strong fantasy community.